Ornette

by Alex Elias in


When I heard of Ornette's passing today, I reached for the headphones and went for Jayne. Despite being far from his greatest achievement, it's a recording I love. The rhythm section is still essentially playing bop, while Ornette has one foot in the door of post-modernism. It's a bridge of sorts. 



Keith Jarrett

by Alex Elias in


I love Keith Jarrett's playing. Even at his most technically complex moments, he is driven by true extemporaneous outbursts. His lines come deep from his mind and soul and never from his muscle's memory, which is surely beyond extensive. 


Jeff Koons Deflated

by Alex Elias


When I first saw the big balloon dogs—first at the Tate Modern, then at LACMA, and finally an entire litter on the roof of the Met—I was a fan.

It was "aesthetic as given"; it aroused an immediate response removed the need or desire to question its depth or intent.

It infantilized the viewer. Captured the joy of seeing your first balloon animal. Even had a tense, explosive quality to it. The balloon was blown so full, with the stretch marks represented on the metal alloy (a significant technical feat I'm sure).

Even the other Koons-balloons I've encountered (the broken egg at LACMA, the heart at the WTC memorial) were fun in their own way. None as immediately satisfying as the dog, but enjoyable.

And then last week I saw his latest metal work at the Gagosian on 24th st. and frankly, it was tired.

Jeff Koons' Venus

There was an awful shiny Venus with literal fresh flowers in the vase, where if the asset value of owning a Koons we're removed from the equation, you couldn't pay me $1,000 to take it home from a garage sale; (maybe $950 if I got to keep the flowers).

And then there was a trio of animals. One a swan, the second supposedly a monkey (according to the security guard who was enlightening folks about not taking pictures) and the third a rabbit (the guard's favorite, because it was the "fastest").

This all felt like Koons was just keeping the factory line running.

I wondered if we really should demand more of Koons. That as long as his work continued to be dazzling and shiny, enough so that certain folks might call it "beautiful", he should pass muster. 

I would have considered the question a lot longer had I not seen the stunning Anselm Kiefer exhibit at the sister Gagosian. They had printed a letter that Kiefer wrote to Richard Calvocoressi, Director of the Henry Moore foundation.

And in just a few sentences, Kiefer answered my skepticism of Koons. 

 

This past year I have painted a number of pictures of flowers. They were from Barjac where I had planted them. There were red ones, yellow ones, and blue ones. Flowers make people happy. They’re beautiful. But beauty in art needs meaning. One can’t have just beauty on its own. True art does not portray beauty alone. Beauty requires a counterpart.
— Anselm Kiefer

Babysitting Bitcoin Detractors

by Alex Elias


Putting aside the issue of whether Bitcoin will succeed as a transactional currency, I can’t help but challenge some of the detractors.

One argument I’ve seen cited a lot is Krugman’s paper from 1998, about the “Babysitter Co-Op” as if it somehow foretold the failure of Bitcoin.

This is the original 1998 Krugman piece: Baby-Sitting the Economy 

In it, Krugman refers to a Babysitting co-op and the coupons they invented to allocate babysitting duties. The upshot is that the babysitting co-op entered a recession because there were not enough coupons in circulation. The lack of circulation was due to the couples’ propensity to save and hoard the coupons. That story touched Krugman, and he frequently uses it to generalize to the economy, where he typically offers it in support of expansive monetary policy (to show the perils of high interest rates, low inflation, and too much saving).  

Since Bitcoin’s early adopters include a hefty pool of passive investors, the saving rate is quite high. This, combined with the 21 million circulation cap, has caused people to draw parallels between the Babysitting Co-op.

Along these lines, a nuanced case for why Bitcoin will never work comes from Felix Salmon, who spells out the danger of hyper-deflation, and why Bitcoin's upward trajectory would be necessary deflationary, making it untenable as the primary currency of an economy.

Article is here:  The Bit Coin Bubble and the Future of Currency 

Basically, if the value of the currency used to make payroll is doubling every week, who is going to hire someone today? A whole population adopting this “wait for my currency to deflate” mentality would have disastrous consequences for any economy.

Furthering Salmon’s case is the fact that if Bitcoin succeeds as a transactional currency, the value per BTC will necessarily be enormous. Were Bitcoin to capture any “bit” of share in the currency market, you would need an aggregate value in the trillions, not billions. And with a finite circulation of 21 million, you would end up with a per-bit-coin value north of $100,000. In other words, it is the circulation cap that ex-ante dooms it as a transactional currency, because the only way for a currency to properly function in a growing economy is to naturally create more units as there's more growth.

Still here, he's too drastic with his deflationary concerns. Because BTC doesn't need anywhere close to 100% market share of any economy to be a long term store of value, Bitcoin can capture significant market share without ever having wages denominated in BTC.  

Furthermore, it would have to approach an astronomical value before a single wage in the developed world was ever denominated in BTC. The point at which BTC has a robust enough market cap to be the currency of use for wages, growth will be on a much slower trajectory. Yes, the value today of a Bitcoin may fluctuate 200+% in the course of a week, but that is because the market is still in its infancy, with only a few billion $USD total in total circulation. If it were to become a transactional currency, it would necessarily have a big enough aggregate value, to make any additional value generated as a result of economic growth, a much slower phenomenon. Assume that the currency needed to keep pace with GDP growth; even that would warrant just a few percentage points per year. Hardly enough deflation to prevent you from spending your bitcoins today.

Babysitting-Bitcoin-Detractors-Medium.png

But again, this all assumes that Bitcoin’s either succeed as a dominant transactional currency or not at all. It is in fact plausible to have a hybrid commodity/currency. Salmon makes the mistake of treating those two ends as diametrically opposed. Bitcoin can stand apart by being more frictionless but less innately valuable than gold. After all, any commodity that is as transportable and valued as Gold has transactional qualities; I'm sure the folks at Pawn Stars would trade me a Rolex for a shiny little bar.

Ironically, Krugman himself doesn’t cite the Babysitter issue directly against Bitcoin (as far as I’ve seen). In a recent NYT column, he instead accuses it of something far more incredible: being “antisocial”:  

See: The Antisocial Network 

The article is riddled with aesthetic points about Money being an invariably "social" construct, and argues that somehow Bitcoin ignores this reality. Amazingly, Krugman misses the fact that Bitcoin’s value is already entirely derived from social acceptance of it as a store of value. I wouldn't be able to immediately liquidate my Bitcoins into cash if there weren't a social creature (read: human) on the other side who accepted its value. And based on the daily averages from MtGox, (one of the larger Bitcoin exchanges), there is enough liquidity to exit 7 figures worth of Bitcoin without significantly altering the value.

Furthermore, a few major online retailers as well as drug dealers, (who by the way, Mr. Krugman, are also “social” creatures, despite being sociopathic  at times) accept Bitcoin as a form of payment. All this while Bitcoin is still a pain to buy and transact with. And there is no evidence that this momentum is slowing down; in fact at the ground level there are a plethora of venture funded startups (from highly respected investors), ranging from “wallets” to banks, that are being funded to make the process of transacting using Bitcoins more seamless. Give it a few years…

I personally think the single biggest risk here are sovereigns clamping down, and preventing Bitcoin’s use as a transactional currency in brick and mortar scenarios.

Barring governmental interference, I believe Bitcoin has a fighting chance.


Authenticity

by Alex Elias in ,


Charlie Mingus once said of Bird: "If Charlie Parker was a gunslinger, there'd be a whole lot of dead copycats.” 

Authenticity.gif

The tech world is riddled with “me too” products. Pinterest for this. Pinterest for that.

I think if the very conception of, and drive behind the idea involves doing “X for Y”; you’re already starting on the wrong foot.

Not that you won’t be successful (the world loves a good sequel because you don’t have to meet new characters). But you’ll be a little less authentic, and less likely to stand out.

So start with something truly original, and then use some of the X for Y and Z, or a cross between F and G, just so that investors understand what the hell you’re talking about.